Most of us are not expert enough to buy and sell individual company stocks profitably. That requires daily monitoring of stock price and volume movements, plus knowing how to use them to determine when to buy and sell. Very complex and easy to get wrong. Splitting investments between several mutual funds and/or key indexes reduces risk. Learn about and invest in a market basket over time of value and growth mutual funds. Also funds that focus on either small, medium, or large size companies plus emerging markets, and index funds like the S&P 500 that performs better than 70% of all mutual funds (the ETF “SPY” is a cheap way to buy that index), plus all of the above. Nothing eliminates risk. Still want more diversity – try the ETFs – MDY (S&P 400 Mid-Caps) and SLY (S&P 600 small caps), and also QQQ (Nasdaq 100 – top 100 Nasdaq stocks; more of a technology play). For additional diversity and balance, there are also “growth” and “value” versions of the S&P 500 indices - just put a “G” for growth, or a “V” for value at the end of them (SPYG, SPYV, SLYG, SLYV, MDYG, and MDYV).
In some of those periods stocks did better than double, while in others it did worse or even lost money. Also and very importantly, there is no guarantee that those results will be repeated in the future. Life is a game of calculated risk and the best we can do is evaluate the risk and play the best odds available to us. A $1,000 investment that averages that rate of growth is worth $16,000 in 32 years, $64,000 in less than 40 years, and $512,000 in 65 years! Think about a twenty something investing just $1,000 every year and lucky enough to earn that rate of return. Then 40 years from now, when that person retires, he she receives the equivalent of a $64,000 check every year retired. So many companies now do not offer pensions, but do offer company matching of your savings. Always take advantage of that gift. The amount of savings you need to contribute to assure your financial independence could be cut in half! Or you could invest the same amount of money to reach a higher level of savings at any age (think early retirement options that you may give yourself - nice to have even if you choose not to use it).
Invest $3,000 one time in a newborn child or grandchild and keep it there for 65 years and that child may have two million dollars at retirement if the 11% rate holds. $750,000 if the rate is only 8%. Wow – why wouldn’t you do that if you can afford it (and many of you absolutely can)?
There are a whole host of incremental choices on large purchases for houses, cars, vacations, colleges, furniture, etc. that can produce good satisfaction while possibly not being all that you originally wanted. Make prudent choices on quantity and price of less expensive purchases that can still build to significant dollars such as clothes, shoes, restaurant meals, entertainment, phone service, etc.. As time goes by, if your income grows, you can still follow the same policy of living below your means, while incrementally increasing your purchase choices due to that higher income. Don’t forget however, to also increase your savings at the same time. When you’re retired you may want to be able to afford more than just watching T.V. all day long and eating at home with little or no money available for entertainment or vacations.
The goal is to save enough to become self-sustaining (to be able to live the rest of your life off the interest or growth and eventually principle of your savings alone or in conjunction with pensions and/or Social Security). For instance, if you need $50,000 gross per year to live and you (and/or your spouse if relevant to your situation) receive or will receive at retirement $30,000 from social security plus pensions, then you have to generate $20,000 a year from other sources. At 4% interest, you need $500,000 saved not to touch the $500,000. Really you need much less, because you won’t live forever and you therefore can touch the principal. If you think you only will live 20 years after retirement, $400,000 is enough without any interest (the interest will cover taxes and some years if you live more than 20 years.
Also, you live on net pay, not gross pay. When you are retired, there are no social security tax deductions, possibly no life insurance and no disability deductions needed anymore, no charity and other deductions now taken from your paycheck. There is only federal taxes at a lower rate from when you worked and if less than age 65, medical insurance that increases substantially until you reach 65, then it goes down below what you paid while working. Therefore, your dollar amount to be self sufficient is even less. If you own a house not yet paid off but will be paid off by the time you are retired, your living expenses go down and you need even less income. Take an IRS tax booklet and your expected retirement income from all sources and calculate your annual net pay after taxes. Compare it to your net pay today. You might be pleasantly surprised.
If you invest part of your savings in stock/mutual funds while you are still drawing funds from it and it grows at better than 4% per year, you need even less. A financial adviser can help you do the math. The dollar total to raise may still seem daunting, but it is doable if you save each year and invest wisely. Shoot for 10% or more savings per year as your goal. Never less than 5%. Pay yourself this savings first from your paycheck, and then determine what choices (housing, cars, clothes, etc.) need to be made to support a reasonable daily standard of living for you and your family. Even if you don’t make your ultimate goals (and most of you with effort can probably far exceed them), you are still way better off than you would have been if you didn’t save.