Getting it Right - Welcome

The goal of this blog is to publish my thoughts on a variety of economic and political topics in the hopes that people who find them educational or beneficial will utilize them and/or forward to others who might find them interesting and/or worthwhile to promote to others, possibly including politicians who can push some of these ideas to fruition. The topics in my blog are meant to be of value on a long term basis, not a daily diary or political issue of the day log. If the information posted is useful to you, by all means utilize it and/or forward it as you see fit. If not useful, then merely ignore it. There are no universally agreed upon truisms and too little tolerance between some of those with opposing viewpoints to successfully convince the people with hardened opinions to move away from them. I am an analytical type person who will try to be as factual as I am able.

I disdain the current popularity of name calling and condemnation of viewpoints with no factual alternatives or logical solutions given that I see so often. If you don't have a solution based on fact and logic, then opt out of the discussion because you have nothing to contribute. My background is a degree in Economics from the University of Michigan and 39 years working in middle management jobs for a major retailer. My opinions are forged on the personal experence of life, family, friends, and work as well as triumphs and mistakes that I have made and hopefully learned from. My hope is that this blog helps you.

My first topic will be about personal finance. I chose that one first because most of us work long and hard just to survive but not all of us realize our dreams of becoming financially independent from the labors of our work. Much of our political votes/thinking also focus on the economy and in particular how well we are personally doing financially.

It is relatively simple, without sacrificing the enjoyment of living for 'today' and even at moderate incomes, to retire as a millionaire or multi-millionaire, if you focus on that goal consistently from a young age. It is also simple to ensure that your child or grandchild retires rich. It merely requires a one time gift of just $2,000 invested wisely and the passage of time. Please read my first post on this blog to learn more.


An index/schedule of past and future posts and their dates will always be updated so that it becomes the first post that you see below. If the date of a post that you wish to read is preceded by the word "Posted", then find it below or click on the title in the Blog archive to review.

Blog Archive

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Taxes

Less taxes collected by government, mathematically works out to more income for workers and their families. More money for us means more money spent on products and services. That translates into more jobs. More jobs start the cycle of more money for workers and families again. In other words, there is a positive multiplier effect. We saw this with the Kennedy tax cuts of the 1960s, the Reagan tax cuts in the 1980s and we saw it again with the Bush tax cuts of the last decade despite inheriting a recession and the financial impacts of 9/11.

Despite Katrina and Rita hurricanes that destroyed whole cities, despite the very expensive war on terror, the U.S. economy has been humming along at 3 to 3.5% growth rates for a long time. (Refer to my explanation of the Business Cycle- for an understanding of why this growth rate cannot stay constant forever and is in fact, currently stalling, but will be temporary).

When taxes are raised, we all have less money to spend, which means less products bought, and therefore fewer workers needed. The unemployment rate goes up and the cycle starts again. That’s right, increased taxes is a negative drag to the economy and it too has a multiplier effect. Don’t believe me, then look at the Western European countries with high tax rates and their double digit unemployment and stagnant economic growth.

Now look at the Eastern European countries plus England, who have cut their taxes to low rates and are surging economically. Need more proof. Look at the Great Depression of the 1930s. Governments tried to fix a recession by raising taxes to balance the budget and imposing trade restrictions. What happened? Greater taxes reduced spending and capital for investment, feeding the negative multiplier effect of these type of actions. Trade restrictions, adopted wholesale and at the same time by many countries including America to ‘protect’ domestic jobs instead destroyed immediately the domestic jobs dedicated to exports for all those nations. No jobs were gained from other nations because the domestic capital to create those industries “helped by the trade barriers” did not exist anymore.

Also, if there were capital available, it would take years to build the infrastructure (without any money coming in during construction) before the first job in that industry could be gained. Even if this could have happened (which it didn’t), all of us would have paid higher prices for those products and services, meaning we would have less money to spend on other products and services. Those people in the other fields where that money would have been spent would have lost their jobs and that would have again steam rolled another negative multiplier effect on the economy.

The Impact of Tax Cuts on Government Revenues:

We’ve all seen the statement that “Tax cuts reduce government revenues and increase budget deficits” –The Big Lie! That statement, in my opinion, is one of the worst, bald faced, self serving lies, perpetrated by the Democratic Party, that has ever been presented to the American public. It sounds logical which is why they use it, but the facts don’t support it. Facts are ultimately what matters. If you only look at the annual change in tax revenues after an income tax cut has occurred, you will see tremendous, often double digit growth in tax revenues collected by the government that continues for years. The extra revenue is generated due to job and income growth that occurs as a direct result of the tax cuts.

Then why, you ask, do federal budget deficits often increase after taxes have been cut? It’s simple. Now look at government spending after a tax cut. Amazingly, it too increases at tremendous rates, even greater than the rate of those big tax revenue increases. That’s the long and short of it. To make matters worse, at the state and local levels, whenever the ‘good times’ bring in revenue increases, instead of returning the surplus to the taxpayers or saving it for a ‘rainy day’, they too increase spending. Inevitably, (may be a few years in the future), the economy slows (see my piece on the business cycle), and federal, state, and local governments start to see large deficits with no easy solutions in sight. Our politicians, whether Democrats or Republicans, have demonstrated an insatiable appetite for government spending. They want to present to us ‘locals’ who elect them the ‘government goodies’ they ‘got for us’ as a reason to reelect them. Seemingly that works well because incumbents are generally hard to defeat in an election.

The second big lie also perpetrated by the Democratic party who truly covet spending the money you and I earn is the labeling of current, planned annual spending increases as spending ‘cuts’ because two or more years ago, the plan was to spend even more. To give some analogies, could a big corporation who increases spending from $100 million dollars last year to $105 million this year, state that they cut spending because two years ago they actually planned to spend $110 million? Of course not!

Also, if you are earning $30,000 a year and you were hoping for a $2,000 raise, but only received a $1,000 raise, would you think that your wages were cut? Of course not! However, according to the Democrats, those would be cuts. It’s just plain stupid and an insult to our intelligence to label spending increases over the previous year as spending cuts. Tell you the truth, the federal government needs to have some years in which spending actually is less than the previous year. You’d be surprised at how fast deficits would shrink and then grow to surpluses. Companies in financial trouble do this all the time. Why can’t the government, when in a financial mess, exercise the same discipline?

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