The Top 10 Economic
Lessons for America with Explanations
2. A single stock market
investment of $2,000 for a newborn child, based on historical stock
market performance, has a high probability of being worth over
$1,000,000 by the time the child turns 63. Can't afford $2,000? -
$1,000 could grow to over $500,000; $500 could grow to $250,000.
Still substantial. If you are fortunate enough to have the funds, a
single $5,000 investment at birth could grow to over 2.5 million
dollars by age 63, while one $10,000 investment could grow to over
$5,000,000. Why not do this for your newborn child or grandchild?
Note - Even if the future growth rate of these investments is less
than 10-11%, the results will likely be quite good too. For example,
$2,000 at 8% growth still will be worth over $250,000.
3. A person who invests
$2,000 a year in the stock market every year starting at age 23 until
age 65 will make a lot more money than a person who waits until age
44 to start. How much more? Based on long term stock market
performance, the 23 year old at age 65 could potentially collect
$128,000 a year for the next 42 years while the 44 year old would
likely collect only $16,000 a year for only 21 years. If you invested
$5,000 a year, the 23 year old would collect $320,000 a year for 42
years, while the 44 year old would likely collect $40,000 a year for
21 years. Give yourself the power of compounding growth by using
time (youth) to make your fortune without ever having to 'earn' big
money in your job in order to get rich.
4. Invest in Roth IRAs
(and Roth 401Ks if available), not Traditional IRAs (nor Traditional
401Ks if the Roth option is available). Traditional IRAs are a
government designed sucker's bet. Since over decades, your IRAs are
likely to be worth many times more that your initial investment each
year, the taxes on your withdrawals will be much larger than paying
the little bit of tax the year you put money into a Roth IRA.
Additional advantages of a Roth IRA include not being forced to
withdraw funds each year starting at age 70 plus your heirs won't
have to pay taxes on withdrawals from their inherited Roth IRAs. For
example per point 3 above, would you rather be taxed on $2,000 income
today by investing $2,000 in a Roth IRA or $128,000 worth of income
or more 42 years later by investing in a Traditional IRA?
5. Never buy individual
stocks – buy mutual funds, ETFs, and Index funds instead. Hold them
for decades – don't buy and sell them as the stock market
inevitably churns. Individual stocks can go to zero, but the
other vehicles spread the risks over many companies and they are not
likely to all go out of business. Most people simply do not have the
time to study stocks that they bought on a daily basis to determine
when to buy and sell. They are already at a disadvantage to the
mutual funds which make up 80% of the marketplace that constantly buy
and sell these stocks and ultimately they, not you determine if a
stock is going up or down. Also most people are too emotional to make
smart decisions or correctly time the market on buys and sells. Most
people tend to buy when the stock market is doing well and sell when
it is doing poorly. That results in emotionally buying at high prices
and selling at low prices – a recipe for losing money and/or
reducing long term growth results. When stock markets tank, 3 out
of 4 stocks go down with it.
That's just a historical fact and it sets up the emotional panic that
influences people to make bad choices on buys and sell. 4 excellent
ETF stock indices to consider purchasing - SPY (S&P 500), SLY
(S&P 600 small caps), MDY (S&P 400 midcaps) and QQQ (Nasdaq
Top 100).
6. Mutual funds, and ETFs
are categorized several ways - by industry or 'general' – multiple
industries, by growth or value funds, by small, medium, and large
caps or a mix of all of them, by region of the world, by emerging
markets, etc.. Over time as you purchase them, you want to move
toward a mix of all of those categories. Keep in mind that it is
easier for small and medium sized companies and emerging markets to
grow more quickly than large sized companies and mature markets. For
example, when companies like Walmart and McDonalds had only 100
stores decades ago, there were more opportunities for them to double
and re-double repeatedly across the nation and world then now that
they have saturated the nation and/or the world with thousands of
stores. Therefore, the case is the same for mutual funds specializing
in small and mid-size companies – and since they have research
departments plus are spreading the risk among many companies, their
downside risk is smaller than with an individual company.
7. Never increase your
mortgage payments to pay off your mortgage early.
You are giving the bank an interest free loan at great risk to
yourself. Instead, put the money into a savings account or CD. It has
a couple of advantages. Even at low interest rates, it will grow in
time to an amount large enough to pay off your entire mortgage sooner
than if you paid it off through higher monthly payments. More
importantly, if a financial crisis occurs (loss of job, medical
crisis), you will be better prepared to hold onto your house to
either weather the crisis or sell your home before bankruptcy occurs,
preserving your hard earned equity in the house. By paying off your
mortgage through extra monthly payments, you have less money in your
personal savings accounts, possibly little or nothing left, to
weather the crisis and may lose the house and all your savings that
went into it. However, don't put all of your savings into this
mortgage payoff endeavor. Leave a significant amount of savings to
invest in higher risk but higher long term return (stock market)
investments even if it means taking longer to pay off your mortgage.
8. Avoid investments in
illiquid companies that pay monthly dividends for two to eight years,
before self liquidating. Also avoid investments in commodities and
especially avoid General and Limited Partnerships in oil and gas
exploration despite the nice tax breaks.
Rule 5 applies here. These are indivudual companies, not pooled
assets, and they can and sometimes do go bankrupt. They are bought
through certified Financial Planners (not stock brokers) who are
associated with a larger company enforcing financial guidelines with
their Financial Planners. Madison Avenue Securities and also VFG
Securities are common companies that work with their associated
Financial Planners. Normally, these investments maintain limited
flexibility to either liquidate early or late so that they liquidate
in hopefully the best market conditions. For oil and gas General
Partnerships (normally for one year to get the tax break, and then
changed to a Limited Partnership), though they carry lots of
insurance, if sued, all your assets and wealth can be utilized to
satisfy the final settlement – not a risk worth taking.
9. Raising taxes on
Corporations is really a tax on you.
Corporations get their money from their customers – ultimately you.
They cannot print money like the government. So when you raise taxes
on corporations, they must get the money to pay for the taxes somehow
while still making the investment returns expected by their
stockholders and board of directors. Their first choice in
dealing with the additional taxes is to raise their prices – you
pay for that. However, market
resistance to the new higher prices has the natural impact of
lowering demand for their products and services, thus reducing their
revenues. Unacceptable result for any corporation. They have two
choices – lower prices to get more demand or hold prices and find
other ways to reduce costs so as to increase profits. Either way,
they have to come up with other options to pay the extra tax. The
options are not good ones – layoffs, salary cuts, reduce or
eliminate raises, slow down or eliminate business expansion, or go
out of business. All those options are essentially a hidden tax on
you because you are ultimately paying the price for this tax in
reduced income to you either directly or indirectly (as the people
laid off, etc. spend less making your employer poorer which
eventually affects your income). Note,
if they cannot maintain their previous profits even after taking
these actions, then their tax liability goes down and despite the
higher tax rates, the government loses, not gains tax revenues
because there is less profit to tax. More so, when employees are laid
off or salaries cut or grown more slowly – since government taxes
their income too but can't tax zero income or must accept smaller
income available to tax.
10. Raising Minimum wages
only hurts the people you are trying to help.
Getting a job and job experience is the key to eventually entering
the middle class for those without job experience and/or skills. They
have double to quadruple the unemployment rate of skilled and/or
higher educated workers. 75 years of 30 minimum wage history shows
that whenever minimum wage rises, the unemployment rate for unskilled
workers rises. History also shows that most of these workers are
under 24 and most live in middle class households with multiple
family earners. Also, people earning more than the minimum wage are
also hurt by “compression” as their wages are now worth less than
before in terms of purchasing power. That is because whatever the
bottom minimum wage is, products and services have not been
increased. So income dollars, though nominally higher for minimum
wage workers can't buy any more goods and services than before
because there aren't more to buy. A minimum wage worker now more
highly paid due to government raising the minimum wage does not
produce any extra goods and services. More money chasing the same
amount of goods could become inflationary and those earning the least
amount of money will always be able to buy the least amount of (the
same amount of goods and services produced in America). The often
quoted “liberal” argument that minimum wage workers will spend
all or most of their raises thus lifting the economy leaves out the
fact that businesses will have less profit to invest in expansion
and/or give more raises or hire more people offsetting the money
spent by minimum wage workers. It also forgets that the always sky
high unemployment rate for low skilled workers gets worse every time
the minimum wage is raised.
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